Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 877.316041 998.393678 1136.203402 1305.975086 1511.302031 1753.944475 2.065908e+03
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 709.626659 866.120722 1062.306793 1331.516439 1699.867322 2199.668118 2.954164e+03
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 614.039836 783.418825 1009.453353 1343.085585 1841.394605 2591.523743 3.880288e+03
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 539.567414 711.007690 950.625545 1324.556136 1923.168625 2905.089269 4.794424e+03
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 495.866867 672.434977 929.700135 1352.323177 2075.032320 3365.598697 6.160585e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 466.402875 649.173135 925.849316 1402.858580 2272.433913 3963.964840 8.119649e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 436.311021 620.571099 908.592777 1426.158387 2424.330026 4523.933791 1.035173e+04
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 405.004139 586.225965 877.018843 1417.877034 2512.216466 4978.118730 1.264456e+04
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 384.658099 566.889043 867.344024 1446.812442 2681.412090 5684.745638 1.635558e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 354.268090 528.190698 820.037999 1396.493613 2667.953816 5928.853520 1.869695e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 329.017883 495.862984 780.478395 1355.468358 2666.553845 6208.317637 2.153205e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 306.092044 465.641109 741.735997 1310.677208 2646.983747 6431.871640 2.444173e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 297.713571 460.352020 748.971664 1365.097231 2892.189181 7618.005496 3.480561e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 286.356415 448.981884 743.872288 1393.017489 3080.820258 8749.572652 4.823454e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 274.266184 435.224110 732.626534 1405.291811 3231.296479 9851.132838 6.586753e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 259.874736 416.158696 709.087378 1385.612984 3285.193713 10610.313098 8.412871e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 251.788294 408.039446 706.469650 1415.104783 3497.932304 12254.150942 1.265383e+05
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 246.546011 404.768340 713.271096 1468.810598 3808.042198 14703.022235 2.178542e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 239.009897 396.538315 708.891922 1493.585584 4031.792293 16966.825475 3.648275e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 229.226155 383.285268 692.615356 1484.778953 4134.690105 18641.329340 5.657364e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 223.296927 377.142840 691.100083 1515.554293 4399.551161 21829.573122 1.174790e+06
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 211.419254 358.509890 660.629956 1462.044112 4316.978166 22304.252531 1.597397e+06
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 201.094956 342.438025 634.740553 1418.446105 4265.172583 23032.240630 2.345259e+06